How much snow is expected in Sunday's biggest storm in years
Jan 19, 2025
The warnings have been issued: the tri-state is in store for a big snow storm on Sunday that could deliver half a foot of snow to much of our area.
Most of the tri-state was scheduled to be under a winter storm warning by the afternoon, when conditions pick up and heavy snow bands could drop as much as an inch of snow per hour. For some, it’ll be the most snow in nearly three years.
Check the latest weather alerts for your neighborhood here.
Inland parts of New Jersey, New York and Connecticut will be under winter storm warnings from 1 p.m. Sunday until 4 a.m. Monday. New York City, Long Island and coastal parts of the tri-state will fall under a winter weather advisory until 4 a.m. Monday.
In New Jersey, Gov. Phil Murphy declared a state of emergency on Saturday.
“As always, I urge all New Jerseyans to use caution, follow all safety protocols, and remain off the roads unless absolutely necessary,” Murphy said in a statement.
Snow forecast amounts
We expect a general 3 to 5 inches in the New York City metro area. Further inland parts of northern New Jersey, upper Hudson Valley and into Connecticut, 5 to 8 inches are likely. And some higher elevation areas of northwest New Jersey, the hills of Connecticut and northern part of the Hudson Valley could get as much as a foot of snow.
If banding becomes very intense, we could see totals on the upper end of the ranges, with a few spots even overperforming. But if the colder air takes longer to move in, we could see totals on the lower end of the ranges, especially near the coast.
The MTA said it is monitoring the weather conditions but, as of Sunday morning, has made no changes to the planned weekend and holiday scheduled service.
Snow timeline
The snow is expected to start falling lightly in the immediate New York City area around 11 a.m. but will really move in by early afternoon. We will see rain mixing in with the snow at first, especially near the coast.
With the mild temperatures in the air, we will see some melting and low impacts through 4 p.m. Starting at 4 p.m., we’ll see temperatures drop to freezing and that’s when travel will become most dangerous.
The worst weather will happen between 5 p.m. and 9 p.m. with some heavy snow bands dropping an inch per hour, leading to snow covered roads and poor visibility.
The snow tapers to light snow and flurries between 9 p.m. and midnight, and then temperatures come crashing down.
The snow that falls on Sunday is not melting any time soon. Temperatures will fall dramatically behind the storm leading to icy roads and slick travel on Monday.
Temperatures next week plummet into the teens and 20s for several days; morning lows fall to the single digits in the city.
We’ll experience the coldest blast of air of the season, with Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday being the worst. Morning wind chills on those days could be sub-zero, making for downright dangerous conditions.
The end of January is climatologically the coldest time of year for Central Park. And this year is certainly delivering in that regard.