Temperatures didn't really drop off last night, and this morning we're starting the day in around freezing with skies filled with sunshine. The good news about today is that temperatures should crack 40° and for areas farther south of the Metro, approach 50°. It will actually be above average for the 1st time in about 2 weeks this afternoon. The other piece of good news is that we get another day tomorrow, perhaps few degrees warmer too. The bad news is that the Arctic air is on the move towards Siberia and the Arctic Circle region. This will be the air mass that comes into the region in chunks over the weekend, setting us backward for a few days once again. View the latest Weather Alerts in the Kansas City region on FOX4 Forecast Today: Sunny and not as cold with highs in the mid-40s. Tonight: Generally clear and mild with lows near 30° Tomorrow: Sunshine in the AM, then clouds in the PM. A small chance of a shower south and east of the Metro. Highs in the mid to upper 40s Saturday: Turning colder with a 12AM high in the 30s, morning lows in the lower 20s and then afternoon highs about the same. Blustery with winds gusting to 25 MPH possible for tailgating. Wind chills drop into the 10° range or colder for some. Afternoon temperatures near 20° or so. Chief fans take note. Clouds with some breaks expected Sunday: Colder with highs 10-15° after morning lows in the single digits. Blustery as well with near-to-sub-zero wind chills for most of the day. Discussion: I guess another piece of good news is that no snow of consequence is expected in the region. There may be some flurries around on Saturday as the colder air swooshes into the region but no accumulations are expected in the area. The arctic air is on the move and this graphic shows where the air is coming from and where it's going over the coming days. This arctic air comes in several pushes...and you can see that if we go up a few thousand feet. This is the 925 mb level. This is roughly around 2500 feet up...and the numbers on the animation are temperatures in °C. For conversion. 0C is 32F, -10C is 14F, -20C is -4F So you can see we drop to about -12C aloft by Noon Saturday...which is 10°F (at 3000 feet or so) then on Sunday we drop more towards -18C which is around 0F and Monday we're done to -19C which is -2°F at that level. FOX4 Newsletters: Sign up for daily forecasts and Joe's Weather Blog in your inbox On the ground it won't be as cold but you can see how we go down in stairstep ways over the weekend and early next week. You can see that in the data as well... We come out of this on Wednesday...and then we attempt to get closer to average after that. By Tuesday night the "milder" air will be flowing into the region as the arctic air retreats eastbound away from the Plains With that said, the downs and ups continue for awhile, perhaps for the rest of the month. Also of note you can tell things are still set up for cold air deliveries by looking towards Alaska. The general rule during winter is when their warm, we're cold. Send us your weather photos and get updates from the FOX4 Weather team on Facebook Their warm because of a Pacific ridge poking towards them as I explained yesterday, when that happens cold air is forced south most of the time. When they flip and stay cold for awhile up there, we moderate the temperatures here in the Plains and elsewhere. For those of you wondering about snow prospects, nothing really noteworthy showing up for awhile, perhaps not till the end of the month. As we get towards the last week of January we may be trying to set up for "something". Tough to say if it will be a functional storm or something light but we'll be vulnerable. Last night I spent some time doing research and breaking down the winter into 15 day chunks. My goal was to go through 135 years of records for KC and find when the most common time is for is to have 6''+ snows in one calendar day. Not the most perfect way to find snowstorms, because often they bleed from one day to another but I had to start somewhere. Here is that data... Notice the period from 2/16-31. This is the most common time (with 11 previous events) that we have 6" or more of snow in one day in KC. The least is the last half of March (no surprise) but also the mins in early December (no surprise) and the last half of January (interesting). So our blizzard from early January is pretty much in that main range of more common times for bigger snows. The feature photo comes from @PiperKswx in KCK. Joe