HONOLULU (KHON2) - Plenty of dry air aloft perists from a broad upper ridge over and just north of the state. Tonight into Sunday, a weak upper trough will graze past the northeast side of Hawaii and may bring some cloud and shower enhancement. Any showers that do occur will focus over windward and mauka areas with leeward areas seeing little, if any, precipitation. Trade winds will weaken to a light and variable pattern from Monday through Wednesday as a cold front approaches the state from the northwest. This lighter flow will allow for the development of land and sea breezes and limited shower activity over interior and leeward areas each afternoon and land breezes helping to clear out cloud cover overnight. Current model guidance suggests that the cold front will move into Hawaii during the second half of next week as it weakens. Rainfall amounts do not appear to be very significant, and will be brief as the front quickly moves through. Winds will strengthen out of the north behind the front around Thursday and eventually veer to the northeast by Friday. Peak monthly tides combined with water levels running higher than predicted could lead to minor coastal flooding issues for vulnerable low-lying coastal areas. The best chance for these impacts will occur during the early morning high tides between midnight and daybreak through the weekend. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM HST Sunday for Maalaea Bay, Pailolo Channel, Alenuihaha Channel, Big Island Leeward Waters, Big Island Southeast Waters.