Lon Horwedel-Imagn Images A look at the Detroit Lions’ current odds and probabilities to win the NFC North, and earn the NFC’s top playoff seed. The Detroit Lions took care of business on Thursday, downing the Green Bay Packers in a critical division game. The win skyrocketed the team’s odds to win the NFC North and maintain their hold on the NFC’s top seed. But for what feels like the umpteenth week in a row, Detroit got no help from other teams on Sunday. The Minnesota Vikings took care of the Atlanta Falcons, and the Philadelphia Eagles survived a scare against the Carolina Panthers. The Lions (12-1) hold just a one-game lead over both the Vikings (11-2) and Eagles (11-2) with only four games remaining. Let’s take a look at what that means for the Lions’ odds and probabilities to win the division and claim the No. 1 seed. For a look at how postseason odds changed after the Lions’ win over the Packers, check out this post from last week. Note: The change in odds reflects the impact of Sunday’s games after the Lions’ win had already been factored in. That’s why each change is negative. Detroit Lions’ playoff odds CLINCHED — 100% The Lions’ win over the Packers clinched Detroit’s postseason spot for the second consecutive year. It’s the first time the Lions have made the playoffs in back-to-back seasons since 1993-95. Lions odds to win NFC North NYT: 90% (no change) DVOA: 91.4% (-1.3%)ESPN: 87.8% (-5.2%) Washington Post: 90% (-7%) It’s no surprise that the Vikings’ win over the Falcons pushed Detroit’s odds to win the division down a little bit. Their overall percentage, though, is still hovering around 90 percent. Things could drastically change this week, though, as the Lions face the 10-3 Bills and the Vikings host the 4-9 Bears. If Detroit loses and the Vikings win, the two teams will be tied in overall record, but Detroit will still hold the No. 1 spot due to a head-to-head tiebreaker. According to the New York Times model, Detroit’s NFC North odds would drop to 81% with those outcomes. That said, the Vikings still have three challenging games remaining: at Seahawks (8-5), vs. Packers (9-4), and at Lions (12-1). If the Lions can get a little help from other teams, that Week 18 matchup between the Lions and Vikings may not even matter. Lions’ odds to win the NFC’s No. 1 seed NYT: 77% (-7%) DVOA: 80.6% (-1.8%) ESPN: 74.4% (-5.3%)Washington Post: 74% (-12%) The Eagles’ narrow win over the Panthers pushed them to 11-2 on the season and right behind the Lions. The next two weeks will prove pivotal in Philly’s chance for the NFC’s top seed. They face the 10-3 Steelers this week, then travel to Washington for an in-division matchup with the 8-5 Commanders. They finish the year against the Giants and Cowboys, so if they can get through the next two weeks unscathed, they’ll force Detroit to be near-perfect down the stretch. As for what could happen this week, here’s a look at the Lions’ No. 1 seed odds (per NYT) based on some different outcomes: Lions win + Vikings win + Eagles win: 85% No. 1 seed oddsLions win + Vikings loss + Eagles loss: 89%Lions win + Vikings win + Eagles loss: 86%Lions win + Vikings loss + Eagles win: 88%Lions loss + Vikings win + Eagles win: 58%Lions loss + Vikings win + Eagles loss: 76%Lions loss + Vikings loss + Eagles win: 61%Lions loss + Vikings loss + Eagle loss: 86% So it’s worth noting that even in the nightmare scenario (Lions loss + Eagles and Vikings win), Detroit will still have above a 50 percent chance to win the No. 1 seed. Because a Bills loss doesn’t hurt Detroit’s conference record, they would still control their own destiny heading into the final three games of the season.