Behind the Numbers: How Vermont Voters Shifted to the Right This Election
Nov 07, 2024
Voters in Vermont shifted to the right in Tuesday's election, giving the GOP significant gains in the legislature and handing Donald Trump his best of three showings in the state. The trend extended to two popular incumbent members of Congress — U.S. Rep. Becca Balint (D-Vt.) and U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) — both of whom won reelection, but by lower margins than in years' past. In the Statehouse, Republicans picked up 18 seats in the 150-member House, plus six more in the 30-member Senate. While those gains won’t give the GOP control of either chamber, the party broke the Democratic supermajority in both. That means Dems can’t override Gov. Phil Scott’s vetoes on their own, giving the Republican governor increased leverage in legislative negotiations heading into January’s session. This year's turnout of more than 372,000 voters was a state record, surpassing the previous high set in 2020 by more than 1,000 ballots. To find out how these shifts affected some of the biggest races, we dove deep into the vote totals. We compared unofficial results from Tuesday night with historical election results. This is what the numbers show. Federal Races There was little doubt that Vermont would back Vice President Kamala Harris. In fact, our three electoral college votes were the first she won as the Associated Press called the race almost immediately after polls closed at 7 p.m. But the results weren’t as resoundingly in her favor as they were for Democratic presidential candidates in years' past. The Harris-Tim Walz ticket won 63 percent, or 235,705 votes. That's about 7,000 fewer votes than President Joe Biden, with Harris as VP nominee, won in 2020. Trump, meanwhile, took home 119,365 votes, or 32 percent — his strongest showing in a Vermont election. Trump’s gains weren’t unique to Vermont. He improved in every state and most counties nationwide as the country tilted rightward. That voter attitude was reflected in the results for Sen. Sanders, who cruised to a fourth term — but earned the lowest percentage of votes in four Senate races since 2006. Sanders on Tuesday didn’t even keep up with Harris, who earned about 6,400 more votes in Vermont than the state’s senior U.S. senator, a former presidential candidate himself. Sanders took home about 62 percent of the vote compared to Republican Gerald Malloy, who won 31 percent of the electorate. By comparison, U.S. Sen. Peter Welch (D-Vt.) won 68 percent of the vote…