Nov 06, 2024
PROVIDENCE, R.I. (WPRI) -- Vice President Kamala Harris easily won the presidential election in Rhode Island by a double-digit margin on Tuesday, but former President Donald Trump improved his performance compared with 2020 in every single community in the state. Harris earned 55.3% of the vote in Rhode Island, beating Trump's 42% and continuing a streak of Democratic presidential nominees winning the state in every election since 1988. The last Republican to win Rhode Island was Ronald Reagan in 1984, when he nearly swept the nation. Voter turnout slumped compared to 2020 and Harris's performance in Rhode Island was four percentage points worse than President Biden's. She only did slightly better than Hillary Clinton's performance in 2016 when the former secretary of state earned 54.4% of the vote -- the lowest share for a Democratic nominee since her husband Bill Clinton beat George H.W. Bush and Ross Perot in a three-way race in 1992. On Tuesday, Trump won every municipality that supported him in 2020, and also flipped Woonsocket, which hasn't voted for a Republican since Reagan in 1984. He also flipped back West Warwick and Richmond, which he carried in 2016 but lost to Biden in 2020. The trend grabbing the most attention, however, is that Trump improved his margin of support to varying degrees in all 39 cities and towns, showing how the Republican was able to make gains even in the state's traditional Democratic strongholds. (Story continues below video.) "This is happening nationally," 12 News political analyst Joe Fleming said, pointing to Trump's similar gains in other blue states such as New Jersey and Illinois. "States that are heavily Democrat, Trump cut the margin down." "People aren't happy with the direction of the country, and when you're not happy you want to change parties and see what happens," he added. "Inflation -- at the market, it's $5 for a dozen eggs, so people felt like they kept seeing inflation, and thought things were better when Trump was in power." Trump's margin of support improved most dramatically in the Providence metro area. While a breakdown of demographic voting data wasn't immediately available, a contributing factor could be that Greater Providence has a relatively high percentage of Hispanic voters compared with the rest of the state. National exit polls on Tuesday showed Trump's support among Hispanic voters soared. He was the first Republican presidential candidate ever to win Hispanic men, according to exit polling. The dynamic appeared to be playing out locally, as Trump's margin of support this year grew in Central Falls more than any other municipality, building on a trend Target 12 first reported about after the 2020 election. Hispanic and Latino residents make up nearly 70% of the voters in Central Falls, according to Census data. And while Trump still lost the citywide vote to Harris 63.2% to 34.5%, he shrank Harris' margin of victory by 16 percentage points compared to 2020. That's on top of the nearly 20 percentage point increase he realized in 2020 from 2016. Providence -- a longtime Democratic stronghold -- saw a similar shift toward Trump. A whopping 73% of voters still cast ballots for Harris, but the former president saw his margin of support increase 12.3 percentage points compared to 2020. At least some of the increased support came from precincts in the city's southern and western neighborhoods, where there are far more Black and Hispanic voters than other parts of the city. At Rosario Hall in Silver Lake, for example, Harris won overall -- but only with 59% of the vote compared to 39% for Trump. That was significantly better than his 23.1% support citywide. By comparison, at the popular Democratic precinct in Temple Beth-El -- within the mostly white East Side neighborhood -- Harris won 84% of the vote compared to 10% for Trump. (Story continues below video.) A similar story played out in other urban communities, including North Providence, East Providence and Pawtucket -- the latter city saw Trump's margin of support also increase by double digits. He also did well in white working-class neighborhoods in the suburbs, including Johnston and the east side of Woonsocket. Despite the margin shift in favor of Trump this election cycle, Fleming said he doesn't think it necessarily means Rhode Island is becoming a more Republican-heavy state. He said it definitely highlights how Trump has made inroads into some Democratic strongholds, but he attributed it more to an electorate that was unhappy with the status quo, which to many was represented by Harris as the sitting vice president. He also pointed to the General Assembly, where the lopsided Democratic majorities will remain almost unchanged was almost unchanged from its lopsided dominance of Democrats. And many cities and towns -- such as Johnston and Woonsocket -- split the ticket, voting Trump for president while supporting Democratic candidates for congressional, state and local offices. "The General Assembly stayed pretty much the same," he said. "If you saw it becoming more Republican, you would have seen Republicans winning a seat or two, but there was no real change, and I think that's what you have to look at first." Eli Sherman ([email protected]) is a Target 12 investigative reporter for 12 News. Connect with him on Twitter and on Facebook. Ted Nesi and Tim White contributed to this report. Close Thanks for signing up! Watch for us in your inbox. Subscribe Now Daily Roundup SIGN UP NOW
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