Oct 23, 2024
Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Trump are virtually tied in the Sunbelt states of Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina, according to Marist polling released on Thursday.  In Arizona, Trump leads Harris 50 to 49 percent among likely voters. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 3.7 points. However, Harris holds a 55 to 45 percent lead among Independents in the state who said they are likely to vote and a 56 to 44 percent lead among voters who said they have already voted. Trump leads with likely voters who have yet to vote.  The former president also led Harris 50 to 48 percent among likely voters in North Carolina with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 points. Trump also led Harris among Independents who said they were likely to vote in the state, 53 to 42 percent. However, Harris leads Trump 55 to 43 percent among voters who said they have already voted. Trump leads Harris 53 to 45 percent among voters who have not yet voted.  The race is tied at 49 percent in Georgia among likely voters, with a plus or minus 3.9 percent margin of error. Harris leads Trump 55 to 40 percent among Independents and 55 percent to 45 percent among those who said they have already voted. Trump, on the other hand, leads Harris 52 to 46 percent among likely voters who have not voted.  The polling comes as Trump appears to have some momentum in the tight race less than two weeks out from Election Day. Earlier this week Trump overtook Harris in The Hill/Decision Desk HQ forecast of the election, with Trump having a 52 percent chance of winning and Harris having a 48 percent chance as of Sunday.  The Marist Georgia poll was conducted among 1,356 registered voters and 1,193 likely voters in the state. In North Carolina, the polling was conducted among 1,410 registered voters and 1,226 likely voters. The polling out of Arizona was conducted among 1,329 registered voters and 1,193 likely voters. 
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