"Presidential election polling this fall can best be characterized as stable uncertainty," said Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute. "Major events like an assassination attempt [on former President Donald Trump] and a high-profile debate barely caused the needle to stutter. Shifts of a single point can be consequential to the outcome but are beyond the ability of most polls to capture with any precision. The bottom line is this race is a toss-up and has been since August."