Oct 22, 2024
Hes always warned us not to place too much emphasis on election polls until we get deep into October. Now that were here, Dr. Stephen Voss, the University of Kentucky Political Science professor, thinks they are accurate.Were still, if you believe the polls, looking at a toss-up election. It's not only a toss-up at the national level, but it's a toss-up in 7 different battleground states, which is a large still to have unsettled right now, Dr. Voss said on Tuesday, exactly 14 days until Election Day.Dr. Voss pointed to the New York Time tracking poll that shows all 7 battleground states polling as a coin flip.Within in one percent, well within the margin of error, he said of that battleground state poll.Dr. Voss said to its okay to believe the polls, but not necessarily the predictions some are basing off those polls.Thats who you shouldnt believe, the people who claim to see certainty in data that arent at all certain, he said.He did point to those looking into sections of the data a bit more closely, such as those seeing minority men apparently breaking for Donald Trump more than usual or another poll that shows white men who didnt attend college leaning more toward Vice President Kamala Harris now, which has some momentum.Early voting, which has been strong in many states, Dr. Voss believes, isnt a reliable indicator either, since this is our first Presidential election, with early voting that wasnt induced by a pandemic.We really don't have a good basis of comparison for early voting patterns to figure out what those tea leaves are saying and how we should read them, Dr. Voss said before reminding us again to expect a very close race.
Respond, make new discussions, see other discussions and customize your news...

To add this website to your home screen:

1. Tap tutorialsPoint

2. Select 'Add to Home screen' or 'Install app'.

3. Follow the on-scrren instructions.

Feedback
FAQ
Privacy Policy
Terms of Service