Oct 21, 2024
SAN FRANCISCO (KRON) -- Non-profit executive Daniel Lurie is closing the gap on incumbent San Francisco Mayor London Breed. If a new poll holds up, he may surpass her and take victory in the mayor's race due to the number of second-choice votes he gets. The race for San Francisco City Hall is getting closer with two candidates running neck and neck, and the other two candidates voters possibly being the ones who determine who will be victorious. San Franciscans have surprisingly positive view on driverless taxis: KRON4 poll A new San Francisco Chronicle poll conducted last week of 802 likely voters, finds Lurie coming within 1 percentage point of Breed for first-choice votes, SF Supervisor Aaron Peskin gaining support and former Supervisor Mark Farrell falling into fourth place. However, when city hall's ranked-choice voting system kicks in, the Chronicle poll finds by the fifth round, Lurie takes the lead from Breed 56% to 44% because more voters choose him as their second choice. "Today's Chronicle poll really confirmed what KRON's own poll suggested last month, and that was Daniel Lurie is running away with the second place votes, and that can be enough to catapult him into the mayor's office at City Hall," said political and media strategist Justin Berton. Political analysts say the fact that Lurie is new to politics helps because he doesn’t carry the baggage that has sliced into both Breed and Peskin's favorability. But, analysts say being a political newcomer also has its downsides. Political analysts say with just two weeks until the election and 14% of those polled still undecided, Breed has her work cut out for her to gain more first and second-choice votes. ‘Work to do’: Mayor Breed responds to KRON4 poll showing low approval rating "(Breed) has a very high unfavorable, unfavorability rating, and that's going to limit her ability to sort of move on. I think her only hope in the last week or so of the campaign is to try and cut a deal with either Mark Farrell or Aaron Peskin," KRON4 political analyst Michael Yaki said. "I think those are the two most likely candidates that you would try and cut a deal with and say, vote for one, vote for the other, and hope that those votes transfer." Analysts say the race is still too close and with ballots being dropped off or mailed on election day, the winner may not be determined immediately.
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