Oct 09, 2024
Hurricane Milton began sweeping ashore Wednesday evening, with its core coming within 100 miles of Florida’s Gulf coast, spawning tornado outbreaks and threatening a wide swath of the coast with a destructive landfall sometime near midnight. A 68-mph gust was recorded in Fort Myers Beach late Wednesday afternoon even as the storm’s top winds fell to 125 mph, dropping Milton to the status of a strong Category 3 storm. It is expected to hold that strength by the time its core reaches land. Heavy rain, powerful winds and a series of tornadoes struck Florida from the storm’s leading edge, according to the National Hurricane Center’s 4 p.m. update. The storm grew dramatically in size Wednesday afternoon, extending tropical-force winds up to 250 miles from its center as it neared the coast, according to the hurricane center’s 2 p.m. update. Tropical-force winds have speeds of 39-73 mph. As dangerous winds from the hurricane approached the Gulf coast early Wednesday afternoon, the hurricane center advised residents to stay inside and keep away from windows. For coastal residents, there’s no time left to evacuate, forecasters said. As the storm’s outer bands swept across the state, heavy rains hit the southwest coast and multiple tornadoes dropped across South Florida. The storm’s forecast track shifted farther south of Tampa Bay, as Florida’s Gulf coast braced for a devastating blow late Wednesday night or early Thursday morning. Here’s the forecast track of Hurricane Milton as of 8 a.m. Wednesday. (National Hurricane Center) The storm’s winds dropped under assault from wind shear, the high-level crosswinds that can make it harder for hurricanes to retain power. The storm was expected to produce top winds of 125 mph, putting it at strong Category 3 strength, by the time it slams into the coast. “We are bracing and are prepared to receive a major hit,” Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis said. “We are facing this with the seriousness that it deserves but also with a determination that we will get through this.” “While there is the hope that it will weaken more before landfall, there is high confidence that this hurricane is going to pack a major, major punch and do an awful lot of damage,” the governor said. Heavy rains began falling on Florida’s Gulf coast and tornadoes touched down in western Broward County and other parts of South Florida late Wednesday morning, as the storm’s outer bands began sweeping across the state. “We’re starting to see those impacts take shape across much of Florida, and conditions are going to deteriorate rapidly as we go through the next few hours,” said Mike Brennan, director of the National Hurricane Center. The hurricane is expected to make landfall, defined as the point where the eye reaches shore, around midnight Wednesday or later. “We’re still very concerned about the potential for a devastating storm surge across portions of the west coast of Florida from Anna Maria Island down to Boca Grande,” he said. The Sun Sentinel has made its coverage of Hurricane Milton free to all readers as a public service. Please consider supporting important breaking news such as this by subscribing to SunSentinel.com at a special rate.  The worst-hit areas, which at this point appear likely to run from Manatee through Charlotte counties, which means from north of Sarasota to just north of Fort Myers, could see catastrophic storm surges of 10 to 15 feet. Areas to the north, including Tampa Bay could see storm surges of eight to 12 feet. Preparing for what’s certain to be a lengthy, difficult and dangerous aftermath, Florida has assembled about 50,000 electricity repair workers from across the United States and brought in an additional 500 law enforcement officers, DeSantis said. Search-and-rescue teams are ready to deploy. The state has assembled dozens of aircraft, including helicopters and airplanes, as well as hundreds of high-wheeled vehicles. Emergency food and water kits have been made ready. At 4 p.m. Wednesday, the hurricane was about 100 miles southwest of Tampa, moving northeast at 17 mph, according to the National Hurricane Center. Hurricane-force winds, meaning speeds of at least 74 mph, extended up to 35 miles from its center. Millions of Floridians in the near-certain path Milton have just hours remaining to prepare for — or evacuate from — the monstrous storm, which is forecast to strike a devastating blow to the central Gulf coast, then carve a path of destruction to the opposite side of the state. Milton is expected to come ashore within 40 miles north or south of Sarasota with the potential to be “one of the most destructive hurricanes on record” for Florida. The potential landfall zone includes Tampa Bay, home to more than 3.3 million people, which has not endured a direct hit from a hurricane in more than 100 years. The weather on the west coast has already started to deteriorate ahead of the monstrous storm, which was packing wind speeds of 145 mph as of 11 a.m. Wednesday, when the storm was just 190 miles southwest of Tampa. Earlier Wednesday, Milton was a Category 5 hurricane with wind speeds of 160 mph. The National Hurricane Center predicted Milton would likely continue to weaken in the hours before landfall, but it will be too late to spare the state from the storm’s catastrophic impacts. Forecasts call for Milton to be at least a Category 3 hurricane at landfall, and remain a hurricane during its entire path across the state. Gov. Ron DeSantis said at a media briefing late Tuesday that the storm’s track could put several million Floridians at risk, compared to Hurricane Helene, which made landfall in the sparsely populated Big Bend region. “You start talking about the greater Tampa Bay area, that’s millions of people, and then if the storm rides I-4, out to the Atlantic, that’s many millions more.” Even as Milton weakens, its wind field will grow considerably, hurricane center forecasters said, bringing a large area of tropical-storm force and hurricane-force winds, especially on the storm’s northwest side. A boat damaged in Hurricane Helene rests against a bridge ahead of the arrival of Hurricane Milton, in South Pasadena, Fla., Wednesday, Oct. 9, 2024. (AP Photo/Rebecca Blackwell) Police block off a bridge leading to the barrier island of St. Pete Beach, Fla., ahead of the arrival of Hurricane Milton, in South Pasadena, Fla., Wednesday, Oct. 9, 2024. (AP Photo/Rebecca Blackwell) Personal items sit abandoned on the side of a road on Deadman Key, ahead of the arrival of Hurricane Milton, in South Pasadena, Fla., Wednesday, Oct. 9, 2024. (AP Photo/Rebecca Blackwell) A jogger runs along the bay in heavy rain ahead of Hurricane Milton, Wednesday, Oct. 9, 2024, in Tampa, Fla. (AP Photo/Mike Stewart) Flight information board with cancelled flights to Tampa is shown on Wednesday, Oct. 9, 2024 at the Philadelphia International Airport. (Alejandro A. Alvarez/The Philadelphia Inquirer via AP) This photo provided by astronaut Matthew Dominick shows Hurricane Milton seen from the International Space Station on Tuesday, Oct. 8, 2024. (Matthew Dominick/NASA via AP) Show Caption1 of 6A boat damaged in Hurricane Helene rests against a bridge ahead of the arrival of Hurricane Milton, in South Pasadena, Fla., Wednesday, Oct. 9, 2024. (AP Photo/Rebecca Blackwell) Expand Making matters worse, tides on the Gulf coast will be incoming around the time of Milton’s landfall, exacerbating the storm surge, which could reach 12-15 feet in some spots. High tide peaks between 4 a.m. and 6 a.m. Thursday in the area around Sarasota and Tampa Bay. “This is an unusual and extremely concerning forecast track for a hurricane approaching the west-central Florida coast and the Tampa Bay area,” warned AccuWeather Chief Meteorologist Jonathan Porter, “For many, Milton may be a once-in-a-lifetime hurricane in terms of severity.” Thousands of fleeing cars clogged Florida’s highways ahead of the storm. Tampa Mayor Jane Castor noted that up to 15 feet of storm surge forecast for her city would be deep enough to swallow an entire house. “So if you’re in it, basically that’s the coffin that you’re in,” Castor said. Authorities issued mandatory evacuation orders across 11 Florida counties with a combined population of about 5.9 million people, according to U.S. Census Bureau estimates. Officials have warned that anyone staying behind must fend for themselves, as first responders are not expected to risk their lives attempting rescues at the height of the storm. 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A hurricane hunter aircraft reported early Tuesday evening the pressure in the eye of Milton was plunging yet again, indicating another explosive intensification. Colorado State University meteorologist Philip Klotzbach said in a post on X that the only other hurricane on record in the Atlantic with a lower pressure this late in the year was Hurricane Wilma in 2005. The hurricane center issued a multitude of watches and warnings ahead of the storm. State and local governments scrambled ahead of the storm to remove piles of debris left in Helene’s wake, fearing that the oncoming hurricane would turn loose wreckage into flying missiles. Gov. Ron DeSantis said the state deployed over 300 dump trucks that had removed 1,300 loads of debris. Bands of heavy rain already moving ashore on Wednesday morning will likely hamper preparations. In Riverview, south of Tampa, several drivers waiting in a long line for fuel Tuesday said they had no plans to evacuate. “I think we’ll just hang, you know — tough it out,” said Martin Oakes, of nearby Apollo Beach. “We got shutters up. The house is all ready. So this is sort of the last piece of the puzzle.” Others weren’t taking any chances after Helene. On Anna Marie Island along the southern edge of Tampa Bay, Evan Purcell packed up his father’s ashes and was trying to catch his 9-year-old cat, McKenzie, as he prepared to leave Tuesday. Helene left him with thousands of dollars in damage when his home flooded. He feared Milton might take the rest. “I’m still in shock over the first one and here comes round two,” Purcell said. “I just have a pit in my stomach about this one.” At a briefing late Tuesday, DeSantis urged residents to follow the instructions of local officials. “I know some of our residents that just experienced hurricane damage from Hurricane Helene are fatigued,” DeSantis Said. “Just hang in there and do the right thing. Let’s get through this. We can do it together.” Milton presents a worst-case scenario that hurricane experts have worried about for years. A 2015 report from the Boston-based catastrophe modeling firm Karen Clark and Co. concluded that Tampa Bay is the most vulnerable place in the U.S. to storm surge flooding from a hurricane and stands to sustain $175 billion in damage. The city is particularly vulnerable because of the Gulf of Mexico’s underwater topography. The Gulf’s gentle slope allows storms to push water long distances and far inland. The state has prepared emergency fuel sources and electric vehicle charging stations along evacuation routes, and “identified every possible location that can possibly house someone along those routes,” the state’s director of emergency management, Kevin Guthrie said Tuesday. People who live in homes built after Florida strengthened its codes in 2004, who don’t depend on constant electricity and who aren’t in evacuation zones, should probably avoid the roads, he said. DeSantis said crews were readying to mobilize for power restoration, and that Milton may cause outages greater than those brought by Hurricane Helene. There is a “massive amount of resources being marshalled,” he added. As many as 5,000 National Guard troops are helping state crews to remove the tons of debris left behind by Helene, DeSantis said, and he directed that Florida crews dispatched to North Carolina in Helene’s aftermath return to the state to prepare for Milton. Milton is expected to bring rainfall totals of 6 to 12 inches, with localized areas seeing potentially up to 18 inches, across portions of central to northern Florida through Thursday. That will come on top of moisture ahead of the hurricane that is already saturating the state. Information from the Associated Press was used in this report.
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