LEXINGTON, Ky. (ABC 36 NEWS NOW) – We are tracking a few rounds of strong-to-severe storms in the forecast for your Tuesday. An initial round of rain and storms will continue to push through the region through your mid-to-late morning hours. This isn’t our severe threat today, but some of these storms will be producing brief torrential rain and gusty winds. Once this initial round exits to the east by lunchtime, we will be waiting for the arrival of the second round of storms that will be moving in during the afternoon and early evening hours. There is a Level 2 Severe Risk out for most of the ABC 36 viewing area for today, Tuesday, September 24th. Damaging wind gusts will be the primary severe threat, though isolated large hail and even a few rotating storms will be possible. The tornado threat is low, but not zero, as a brief spin-up cannot be ruled out. Localized heavy rain could producing isolated instances of flash flooding as well. This won’t be a widespread concern, though low-lying and flood prone areas need to remain alert. The main timeframe of the strongest storms will be during the afternoon and early evening, with the storms exiting from west to east through the evening hours. As the main round of storms exits overnight, a few lingering showers and storms will be possible. The parent cold front that is helping fire up these storms, will be stalled out over the area on Wednesday. This will lead to scattered showers and a few storms for southeastern Kentucky, while central Kentucky, west of I-75 will likely just see a few showers and maybe a storm or two. Thursday into Friday is where we start to see the impacts from the tropical system (to be named Helene) that will be moving into Florida during day on Thursday. A rapidly strengthening system is expected. As of this post, we don’t even have an official tropical system. But, by Thursday afternoon we will likely have a strong hurricane approaching the west coast of Florida. This system is expected to be moving very quickly as it makes landfall and moving inland. This will lead to us seeing impacts right around when this storm will initially be making landfall. What is called a “predecessor rain event” is possible from southern Kentucky through Tennessee into Georgia and the Carolinas. This is a band of heavy rain well ahead of the actual tropical system. These type of events can produce heavy rainfall and the forecast models don’t do a particularly good job of pinpointing the exact location of where we will see the heaviest of the rain. Because of an interaction with an upper level low to our west, that could lead to some of this heavy rain moving into our area. Southern Kentucky is the area that has the highest chance locally of seeing this. As the system races inland Thursday night into Friday, it is expected to be making a turn to the northwest potentially moving over our area. This system will likely be a tropical depression by this time, or even a remnant low by this point. Regardless, the National Hurricane Center does have most of Kentucky included in the forecast cone for this system. Breezy conditions and rain is in the forecast for Friday. There is still some uncertainty with the exact track of the system though. Some of the data does suggest it may move a bit to our east, while other forecast models do move the low right over our area. The system will be pinwheeling or pivoting around the upper level low that I previously mentioned. This upper level low will likely be sitting over Missouri/northern Arkansas as the remnants of the tropical system pivot around it. This is before the remnants of the tropical system are eventually absorbed by the upper level though. The upper level low will slowly be moving across the Ohio Valley over the weekend and likely even into early next week. This will keep rain showers in the forecast through at least Monday and possibly into Tuesday of next week. This will also limit our temperatures as we are expected to stay near-to-below normal temperature-wise during that time frame. Stay with the ABC 36 Storm Team for more updates.  ABC 36 HOUR FORECAST TUESDAY: A couple round of rain and storms, with strong-to-severe storms possible. Highs in the mid-to-upper 70s. TUESDAY NIGHT: Scattered rain and storms early. Lows in the mid-60s. WEDNESDAY: Partly-to-mostly cloudy with scattered showers and a few storms mainly south and east of Lexington. Highs in the mid-to-upper 70s.   Categories: Featured, Local Weather Headlines, Storm Team Weather Blog, Weather, Weather Forecast Tags: ABC 36 Hour Forecast, ABC 36 Second Forecast, Meteorologist Dillon Gaudet, weather forecast, Weather Video, Weekend Forecast