Sep 27, 2024
Vice President Harris is leading former President Trump in a key district in Nebraska, a new poll found. The CNN survey, conducted by SSRS, found that 53 percent of voters in the Cornhusker State's 2nd Congressional District — currently represented by Rep. Don Bacon (R) — would be most likely to vote for Harris and her running mate, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz (D), compared to 42 percent who would vote for the Trump and his running mate, Sen. JD Vance (R-Ohio). Of those voting for Harris, 61 percent said their vote was in support of the vice president rather than the 38 percent who said it would represent a protest vote against the GOP nominee, the survey found. Of those voting for Trump, 74 percent said that it's a vote for Trump compared to 26 percent who said it was a vote against the Democratic nominee, the data shows. The poll also found that 87 percent of respondents who said their mind is made up on who they will vote for in November, compared to 12 percent who said they could change their mind. When asked which issues were the most important to voters in Nebraska's second district, which encompasses most of Omaha, 33 percent said the economy, 26 percent said protecting democracy and 19 percent said abortion and reproductive rights. With regard to who they trust more on handling the economy, Trump narrowly beats Harris with 46 percent support to her 45 percent. On protecting democracy, Harris leads Trump, 51 percent to 37 percent. The vice president also has an edge over Trump on the issue of abortion and reproductive rights in the district, by more than 20 points — 54 percent to 33 percent — the poll found. Additionally, the survey found that 91 percent of respondents said Trump's views are so extreme that they pose a threat to the country, while just 9 percent said they are not so extreme. The numbers are similar for Harris, with 90 percent saying that her views are extreme enough to pose a threat compared to 10 percent who said they are not. While Republicans in the state have been pressing election officials to update to a winner-takes-all system, roughly 60 percent of voters in the district said they wanted to keep the current system for awarding electoral votes. The remaining 40 percent were in support of the update, which would certainly add an electoral vote to Trump's tally. That single vote could have been critical, since one plausible path in the presidential contest would see Harris landing on exactly 270 electoral votes. The CNN survey was conducted online and over the phone from Sept. 20-25 among 749 likely voters in Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District. The margin of error was plus or minus 4 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level.
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