LIVE | Hurricane Helene 2 p.m. update: Breaking down new track, models
Sep 26, 2024
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TAMPA, Fla. (WFLA) -- Hurricane Helene is now a Category 2 Hurricane. Moving northward in the Gulf of Mexico, Helene will bring "catastrophic" storm surge and wind to parts of Florida, according to the National Hurricane Center.
As of the 2 p.m. update, Helene is located 195 miles southwest of Tampa and 365 miles south-southwest of Apalachicola. It's moving at 16 mph.
Maximum sustained winds are 110 mph.
LIVE: Hurricane Helene real-time wobble tracker
Helene is expected to make landfall Thursday night in the Big Bend region, according to the National Hurricane Center.
The storm is expected to bring "unsurvivable" storm surge of up to 20 feet to the Big Bend area, according to the National Weather Service in Tallahassee, which called it a "nightmare surge scenario."
Max Defender 8 Chief Meteorologist Jeff Berardelli said residents in the Nature Coast and Big Bend should not take any chances and need to evacuate.
“You cannot survive 20 feet or even 15 feet of storm surge,” Berardelli said. “If you’re near the water and you know you’re going to flood, especially if you’re in a mobile home, too. You’ve got to go. You cannot take your chances. This is not survivable.”
Weakening is expected after Hurricane Helene makes landfall, but fast forward speed allows strong, damaging winds in gusts.
The next track update is at 5 p.m.
Watches and warnings
A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
Mexico Beach eastward and southward to Flamingo
Tampa Bay
Charlotte Harbor
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
Anclote River to Mexico Beach
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
Englewood to Anclote River, including Tampa Bay
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
Florida Keys, including the Dry Tortugas
Flamingo to Anclote River, including Tampa Bay
West of Mexico Beach to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line
Flamingo northward to Little River Inlet
Lake Okeechobee
Cuban provinces of Artemisa, Pinar del Rio, and the Isle of Youth
Tropical Storm Isaac
The National Hurricane Center said Tropical Storm Isaac formed in the open subtropical Atlantic on Wednesday night.
The system is well east-northeast of Bermuda and will not impact North America.
Watch Tracking the Tropics on Tuesdays at 12:30 p.m. ET/11:30 a.m. CT.Be prepared with the 2024 Hurricane Guide and stay ahead of tropical development with the Tracking the Tropics newsletter.